Descriptive record — not a forecast. This page records what our liquidation map showed before this cascade (snapshot timestamps shown), what then happened on our multi-venue tape, and the model's measured historical record as it stood before the event. Every accuracy figure carries its sample size and a Wilson 95% lower bound. It does not predict future price moves and does not claim the model forecasts when a cascade will start.
Cascade Autopsy: ETH — 2026-06-02
2026-06-02T15:17:20Z → 15:33:24Z UTC · generated 2026-07-21T01:09:02Z · artifact 2026-06-02T1517-ETH
What happened
Venues
binance, bybit, okx
Direction
predominantly SHORT liquidations (78% of events) — price rose
| Symbol | Liquidated | Events | Share |
|---|
| ETHUSDT | $80.0M | 1,284 | 65.6% |
| BTCUSDT | $20.9M | 855 | 17.2% |
| SOLUSDT | $8.8M | 774 | 7.2% |
| XRPUSDT | $2.8M | 367 | 2.3% |
| DOGEUSDT | $2.6M | 301 | 2.2% |
Timeline (UTC, minute by minute)
| Minute | Events | Liquidated | Top symbol | Venues |
|---|
| 15:16 | 58 | $787,781 | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:17 | 78 | $3.8M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:18 | 20 | $2.7M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:19 | 11 | $56,345 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit |
| 15:20 | 816 | $33.3M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:21 | 10 | $1.7M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:23 | 3 | $1.9M | ETHUSDT | binance |
| 15:25 | 77 | $7.9M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:26 | 1,110 | $20.8M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:27 | 49 | $2.8M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:28 | 3 | $361 | ADAUSDT | binance |
| 15:29 | 8 | $17,793 | XRPUSDT | binance, bybit |
| 15:30 | 1,528 | $22.7M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:31 | 1,107 | $27.9M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:32 | 11 | $64,823 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 15:33 | 3 | $40,833 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit |
| 15:34 | 25 | $89,335 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit |
Venue breakdown
| Venue | Liquidated | Events |
|---|
| binance | $94.4M | 844 |
| bybit | $26.1M | 3,526 |
| okx | $1.5M | 389 |
Independent re-read of our own captured tape (verify: PASS). Cross-venue capture is the product moat.
What the map showed BEFORE the cascade
No pre-cascade map snapshot exists for this symbol (level capture not active for it at that time, or outside the retention window). We do not reconstruct or backfill a before-map — that would be look-ahead.
The measured record, as it stood before this cascade
No calibration record predating this cascade was found.