Descriptive record — not a forecast. This page records what our liquidation map showed before this cascade (snapshot timestamps shown), what then happened on our multi-venue tape, and the model's measured historical record as it stood before the event. Every accuracy figure carries its sample size and a Wilson 95% lower bound. It does not predict future price moves and does not claim the model forecasts when a cascade will start.
Cascade Autopsy: BTC — 2026-06-02
2026-06-02T19:29:14Z → 19:34:08Z UTC · generated 2026-07-21T01:09:02Z · artifact 2026-06-02T1929-BTC
What happened
Venues
binance, bybit, okx
Direction
predominantly SHORT liquidations (74% of events) — price rose
| Symbol | Liquidated | Events | Share |
|---|
| BTCUSDT | $73.8M | 1,058 | 67.8% |
| ETHUSDT | $21.4M | 517 | 19.7% |
| SOLUSDT | $5.2M | 599 | 4.8% |
| XRPUSDT | $3.1M | 293 | 2.9% |
| DOGEUSDT | $1.5M | 198 | 1.4% |
Timeline (UTC, minute by minute)
| Minute | Events | Liquidated | Top symbol | Venues |
|---|
| 19:28 | 98 | $2.7M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 19:29 | 61 | $151,300 | SOLUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 19:30 | 319 | $15.1M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 19:31 | 1,158 | $46.1M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 19:32 | 1 | $2,516 | LINKUSDT | bybit |
| 19:33 | 1,783 | $47.6M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 19:34 | 4 | $50,776 | ETHUSDT | binance |
| 19:35 | 1 | $6,447 | ETHUSDT | binance |
Venue breakdown
| Venue | Liquidated | Events |
|---|
| binance | $85.9M | 583 |
| bybit | $21.7M | 2,443 |
| okx | $1.3M | 291 |
Independent re-read of our own captured tape (verify: PASS). Cross-venue capture is the product moat.
What the map showed BEFORE the cascade
No pre-cascade map snapshot exists for this symbol (level capture not active for it at that time, or outside the retention window). We do not reconstruct or backfill a before-map — that would be look-ahead.
The measured record, as it stood before this cascade
No calibration record predating this cascade was found.