Descriptive record — not a forecast. This page records what our liquidation map showed before this cascade (snapshot timestamps shown), what then happened on our multi-venue tape, and the model's measured historical record as it stood before the event. Every accuracy figure carries its sample size and a Wilson 95% lower bound. It does not predict future price moves and does not claim the model forecasts when a cascade will start.
Cascade Autopsy: ETH — 2026-06-03
2026-06-03T20:53:08Z → 20:58:07Z UTC · generated 2026-07-21T00:39:01Z · artifact 2026-06-03T2053-ETH
What happened
Venues
binance, bybit, okx
Direction
predominantly SHORT liquidations (73% of events) — price rose
| Symbol | Liquidated | Events | Share |
|---|
| ETHUSDT | $32.8M | 451 | 47.5% |
| BTCUSDT | $30.1M | 582 | 43.6% |
| SOLUSDT | $2.9M | 227 | 4.2% |
| DOGEUSDT | $1.0M | 92 | 1.5% |
| XRPUSDT | $927,281 | 115 | 1.3% |
Timeline (UTC, minute by minute)
| Minute | Events | Liquidated | Top symbol | Venues |
|---|
| 20:53 | 30 | $168,146 | XRPUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 20:54 | 387 | $15.6M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 20:55 | 1,352 | $53.1M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 20:56 | 40 | $242,039 | SOLUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 20:57 | 1 | $13,545 | SUIUSDT | binance |
| 20:58 | 5 | $13,283 | SUIUSDT | binance, bybit |
| 20:59 | 1 | $56,994 | ETHUSDT | binance |
Venue breakdown
| Venue | Liquidated | Events |
|---|
| binance | $48.7M | 357 |
| bybit | $19.8M | 1,312 |
| okx | $752,577 | 142 |
Independent re-read of our own captured tape (verify: PASS). Cross-venue capture is the product moat.
What the map showed BEFORE the cascade
No pre-cascade map snapshot exists for this symbol (level capture not active for it at that time, or outside the retention window). We do not reconstruct or backfill a before-map — that would be look-ahead.
The measured record, as it stood before this cascade
No calibration record predating this cascade was found.