Descriptive record — not a forecast. This page records what our liquidation map showed before this cascade (snapshot timestamps shown), what then happened on our multi-venue tape, and the model's measured historical record as it stood before the event. Every accuracy figure carries its sample size and a Wilson 95% lower bound. It does not predict future price moves and does not claim the model forecasts when a cascade will start.
Cascade Autopsy: BTC — 2026-06-07
2026-06-07T22:13:02Z → 22:17:58Z UTC · generated 2026-07-20T23:39:01Z · artifact 2026-06-07T2213-BTC
What happened
Venues
binance, bybit, okx
Direction
predominantly LONG liquidations (71% of events) — price fell
| Symbol | Liquidated | Events | Share |
|---|
| BTCUSDT | $94.2M | 1,124 | 58.4% |
| ETHUSDT | $55.3M | 714 | 34.2% |
| SOLUSDT | $6.3M | 369 | 3.9% |
| BNBUSDT | $1.7M | 76 | 1.1% |
| XRPUSDT | $1.4M | 116 | 0.8% |
Timeline (UTC, minute by minute)
| Minute | Events | Liquidated | Top symbol | Venues |
|---|
| 22:12 | 187 | $5.5M | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 22:13 | 647 | $38.7M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 22:14 | 1,364 | $74.0M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 22:15 | 800 | $47.5M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 22:16 | 30 | $546,614 | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 22:17 | 31 | $612,825 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 22:18 | 22 | $154,632 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
Venue breakdown
| Venue | Liquidated | Events |
|---|
| binance | $125.4M | 544 |
| bybit | $33.6M | 1,964 |
| okx | $2.4M | 364 |
Independent re-read of our own captured tape (verify: PASS). Cross-venue capture is the product moat.
What the map showed BEFORE the cascade
No pre-cascade map snapshot exists for this symbol (level capture not active for it at that time, or outside the retention window). We do not reconstruct or backfill a before-map — that would be look-ahead.
The measured record, as it stood before this cascade
No calibration record predating this cascade was found.