How accurate are the TAO liquidation magnets?

For TAO, the walk-forward precision@N is 50.7% (Wilson 95% lower bound: 33.8%). The random-label baseline is 10.0%. Measurement span: 10d of out-of-sample data. If the symbol drops below our threshold, it's automatically disabled and we show you that.

Precision@N is the share of our top-N predicted magnet bands where a real liquidation actually materialized within the measured horizon window. It is computed out-of-sample (future data the model never saw), walk-forward (using only the calibration that was live at the time of the prediction). We publish the Wilson 95% confidence interval lower bound, the conservative floor, rather than the mean.

Why is the TAO data delayed 2 hours on this page?

The real-time tape and full graded market intelligence are paid-tier features inside the dashboard. The delay here (2 hours) lets you verify the data is real without giving away the live product. Real-time TAO data plus all tracked symbols is available with a free account.

Which exchanges does the TAO data cover?

The TAO liquidation tape aggregates data from Bybit, Binance, OKX, Kraken, BitMEX, and Deribit (where applicable), with OI and funding across up to 15 venues. Each venue's liquidation feed is independently reconciled every 5 minutes.

Does Hunter Killer publish accuracy scores for all coins?

We publish graded accuracy for every symbol we actively track, currently 25 perp instruments. Symbols below the precision threshold are auto-disabled and their state is shown honestly. We do not inflate scores by hiding failing symbols.

TAO Liquidation Levels & Accuracy

Cross-exchange TAO perp liquidation data — walk-forward graded, delayed 2 hours for the public snapshot — with the measured accuracy of our magnet predictions for TAO.

Magnet accuracy grade — TAO

Every grade is walk-forward, out-of-sample, with n + Wilson 95% CI. Below the threshold, the model is auto-disabled and that state is shown here honestly. Failing grades withhold the product.

Auto-disabled Magnet accuracy — below threshold

The TAO magnet model was automatically disabled because its walk-forward precision@N dropped below our minimum threshold. We show you this rather than silently serving a lower-quality map. Calibration continues: the model re-enables automatically once it clears the bar again.

Measurement span: 10d | Samples: 30 | Wilson 95% lower bound: 33.8%

Excluded — rate withheld Measured accuracy — TAO · benched by the served-floor governance

TAO is currently excluded from the governed served pool: its published Wilson floor fell below the served floor. The number that benched it is public, not hidden — at-exclusion Wilson floor 18.2% over 15 day clusters. The current rate stays withheld while excluded — never a fresh-looking number on a benched symbol. Re-inclusion is earned, not assumed: the re-inclusion bar (Wilson floor ≥ 30.0%) must hold over consecutive confirmed cycles plus sustained time and tenure. Live re-inclusion status: accruing.

day clusters: 15 · graded windows: 241 · measured live · calibration artifact stamped 2026-08-16T21:54:35Z · this block re-derives from the live artifact on every page render (5-minute page cache) · governance state: excluded · descriptive history, not a forecast · full governed table →

Liquidation snapshot — TAO · delayed 2 h

Observed cross-exchange liquidation tape for TAO perps, delayed 2 hours. Descriptive history only — not a forecast.

22 events · 24h

$14K total liq'd · 24h

$4K longs liq'd

$10K shorts liq'd

$5K largest single

Time	Exchange	Side	Price	Size
12:36 UTC	binance	LONG	$196.25	$6K
14:58 UTC	binance	LONG	$193.71	$6K
14:56 UTC	bybit	SHORT	$192.21	$21K
14:56 UTC	binance	LONG	$193.48	$5K
14:56 UTC	bybit	SHORT	$192.45	$14K
14:56 UTC	bybit	SHORT	$192.47	$10K
14:56 UTC	binance	LONG	$193.57	$29K
14:56 UTC	binance	LONG	$194.23	$97K
14:56 UTC	okx	LONG	$194.20	$19K
14:56 UTC	okx	LONG	$194.70	$19K

Last 10 events ≥$5K · older events available inside the dashboard

🕑 Delayed 2 hours · observed cross-exchange tape · descriptive history only · real-time data inside the Money Map

How accurate is this? — TAO FAQ

How accurate are the TAO liquidation magnets?

For TAO, the walk-forward precision@N is 50.7% (Wilson 95% lower bound: 33.8%). The random-label baseline is 10.0%. Measurement span: 10d of out-of-sample data. If the symbol drops below our threshold, it's automatically disabled and we show you that.
What is precision@N?

Precision@N is the share of our top-N predicted magnet bands where a real liquidation actually materialized within the measured horizon window. It's computed out-of-sample (future data the model never saw), walk-forward (using only the calibration that was live at the time of the prediction). We publish the Wilson 95% confidence interval lower bound — the conservative floor — rather than the mean, so the number is always the pessimistic honest estimate. Full methodology →
Why is the data delayed 2 hours on this page?

The real-time tape and full graded market intelligence are paid-tier features inside the dashboard. The delay here (2 hours) follows the same doctrine as our public liquidation teaser: it lets you verify the data is real without giving away the live product. Real-time TAO data plus all tracked symbols is available with a free account.
Which exchanges does the TAO data cover?

The TAO liquidation tape aggregates data from Bybit, Binance, OKX, Kraken, BitMEX, and Deribit (where applicable), with OI and funding across up to 15 venues. Each venue's liquidation feed is independently reconciled every 5 minutes — the per-venue reconciliation record is public on the proof page.
Does Hunter Killer publish accuracy scores for all coins?

We publish graded accuracy for every symbol we actively track — currently 25 perp instruments. Symbols below the precision threshold are auto-disabled and their state is shown honestly on these pages. We don't inflate scores by hiding failing symbols — the full ledger is on the proof page, wins and failures together.

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No-signup calculators for sizing and pricing TAO perp risk — the same tools linked from every page of the site.

Learn how to read this

Plain-English guides on liquidation heatmaps, maps, and the derivatives structure behind TAO.

Other tracked coins

Liquidation data delayed 2 h · walk-forward accuracy grades updated on calibration schedule · auto-disabled symbols shown honestly · no forecast claims · Full scored ledger