How accurate are the XAU liquidation magnets?

We're still accumulating walk-forward data for XAU (— so far). We publish the grade only when the sample is large enough to support a meaningful Wilson confidence interval.

Precision@N is the share of our top-N predicted magnet bands where a real liquidation actually materialized within the measured horizon window. It is computed out-of-sample (future data the model never saw), walk-forward (using only the calibration that was live at the time of the prediction). We publish the Wilson 95% confidence interval lower bound, the conservative floor, rather than the mean.

Why is the XAU data delayed 2 hours on this page?

The real-time tape and full graded market intelligence are paid-tier features inside the dashboard. The delay here (2 hours) lets you verify the data is real without giving away the live product. Real-time XAU data plus all tracked symbols is available with a free account.

Which exchanges does the XAU data cover?

The XAU liquidation tape aggregates data from Bybit, Binance, OKX, Kraken, BitMEX, and Deribit (where applicable), with OI and funding across up to 15 venues. Each venue's liquidation feed is independently reconciled every 5 minutes.

Does Hunter Killer publish accuracy scores for all coins?

We publish graded accuracy for every symbol we actively track, currently 25 perp instruments. Symbols below the precision threshold are auto-disabled and their state is shown honestly. We do not inflate scores by hiding failing symbols.

XAU Liquidation Levels & Accuracy

Cross-exchange XAU perp liquidation data — walk-forward graded, delayed 2 hours for the public snapshot — with the measured accuracy of our magnet predictions for XAU.

Magnet accuracy grade — XAU

Every grade is walk-forward, out-of-sample, with n + Wilson 95% CI. Below the threshold, the model is auto-disabled and that state is shown here honestly. Failing grades withhold the product.

Maturing Magnet accuracy — data accumulating

We track XAU but don't yet have enough walk-forward data to publish a graded accuracy score (no forward data yet). The measurement clock starts from first live deployment; we grade only when the sample is large enough to support a meaningful Wilson confidence interval. Check back — this page updates automatically as the ledger grows.

Measured · serving XAU levels: 65.1% walk-forward precision [Wilson low 40.3%]

In plain English: XAU levels hit 65% of the time - checked over 309 windows across 15 independent days. The cautious number (95% floor): 40.3%. That is 4.4x better than guessing (the no-model mass-weighted baseline: 14.5%). proof → · how we measure →

65.1% walk-forward OOS precision

40.3% Wilson 95% lower bound

15 day clusters (the independence unit)

309 graded windows

+50.6pp excess vs 14.5% baseline · ci95 floor +25.8pp

Basis anchor-invariant (the phase-free fixed UTC grid) · the published floor is the artifact's own Wilson 95% lower bound computed on held-out day clusters — the DAY, not the correlated intra-day window, is the independent unit · the excess rides against the governed pool's mass-weighted trivial reference with its own ci95 floor, never a bare excess · measured live · calibration artifact stamped 2026-08-16T21:54:35Z · this block re-derives from the live artifact on every page render (5-minute page cache) · governance state: serving · descriptive history, not a forecast · full governed table →

Cascade autopsies — XAU

After major XAU liquidation cascades we publish what the map showed before the event, with the timestamped evidence attached. Descriptive records, never forecasts.

Liquidation snapshot — XAU · delayed 2 h

Observed cross-exchange liquidation tape for XAU perps, delayed 2 hours. Descriptive history only — not a forecast.

23 events · 24h

$18K total liq'd · 24h

$2K longs liq'd

$17K shorts liq'd

$7K largest single

Time	Exchange	Side	Price	Size
03:19 UTC	binance	SHORT	$4,386.15	$6K
01:52 UTC	okx	SHORT	$4,386.20	$7K
13:14 UTC	binance	LONG	$4,387.29	$8K
12:23 UTC	binance	SHORT	$4,384.22	$31K
10:02 UTC	bybit	SHORT	$4,363.09	$6K
07:12 UTC	binance	LONG	$4,385.37	$8K
02:21 UTC	bybit	LONG	$4,403.76	$5K
02:00 UTC	binance	SHORT	$4,385.35	$25K
21:48 UTC	binance	SHORT	$4,385.49	$14K
18:09 UTC	binance	SHORT	$4,383.85	$44K

Last 10 events ≥$5K · older events available inside the dashboard

🕑 Delayed 2 hours · observed cross-exchange tape · descriptive history only · real-time data inside the Money Map

How accurate is this? — XAU FAQ

How accurate are the XAU liquidation magnets?

We're still accumulating walk-forward data for XAU (— so far). We publish the grade only when the sample is large enough to support a meaningful Wilson confidence interval.
What is precision@N?

Precision@N is the share of our top-N predicted magnet bands where a real liquidation actually materialized within the measured horizon window. It's computed out-of-sample (future data the model never saw), walk-forward (using only the calibration that was live at the time of the prediction). We publish the Wilson 95% confidence interval lower bound — the conservative floor — rather than the mean, so the number is always the pessimistic honest estimate. Full methodology →
Why is the data delayed 2 hours on this page?

The real-time tape and full graded market intelligence are paid-tier features inside the dashboard. The delay here (2 hours) follows the same doctrine as our public liquidation teaser: it lets you verify the data is real without giving away the live product. Real-time XAU data plus all tracked symbols is available with a free account.
Which exchanges does the XAU data cover?

The XAU liquidation tape aggregates data from Bybit, Binance, OKX, Kraken, BitMEX, and Deribit (where applicable), with OI and funding across up to 15 venues. Each venue's liquidation feed is independently reconciled every 5 minutes — the per-venue reconciliation record is public on the proof page.
Does Hunter Killer publish accuracy scores for all coins?

We publish graded accuracy for every symbol we actively track — currently 25 perp instruments. Symbols below the precision threshold are auto-disabled and their state is shown honestly on these pages. We don't inflate scores by hiding failing symbols — the full ledger is on the proof page, wins and failures together.

See XAU in real time

Real-time XAU magnet map, position overlay, and graded alerts — free during beta.

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Free trading tools

No-signup calculators for sizing and pricing XAU perp risk — the same tools linked from every page of the site.

Learn how to read this

Plain-English guides on liquidation heatmaps, maps, and the derivatives structure behind XAU.

Other tracked coins

Liquidation data delayed 2 h · walk-forward accuracy grades updated on calibration schedule · auto-disabled symbols shown honestly · no forecast claims · Full scored ledger